Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 40.53%. A win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Kidderminster Harriers win was 0-1 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Buxton	Draw	Kidderminster Harriers
40.53% ( 0.03)	26.16% ( -0)	33.3% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 53.21% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.72% (

51.27% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.89% (

73.1% (

-0.01)

Buxton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.06% (

0.02)

24.93% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.43% (

0.03)

59.56% (

-0.03)

Kidderminster Harriers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.88% (

-0.02)

29.11% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.96% (

-0.03)

65.04% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Buxton 40.53%

Kidderminster Harriers 33.3%

Draw 26.16%

Buxton	Draw	Kidderminster Harriers
1-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.64% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 40.53%	1-1 @ 12.44% 0-0 @ 7.26% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.33% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.16%	0-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.68% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.27% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 33.3%