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FA Cup

FA Cup | Second Round Qualifying
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Silverlands

Buxton
2 - 2
Barwell

FT(HT: 0-2)
Hill (41')
Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round Qualifying clash between Buxton and Barwell.

Form, Standings, Stats

Buxton

All competitions
Last Game: Buxton 2-0 Rushall Olympic
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in National League North

Barwell

All competitions
Last Game: Barwell 3-0 Kidsgrove Athletic
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 69.77%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Barwell had a probability of 12.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Barwell win it was 0-1 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
BuxtonDrawBarwell
69.77% (0.55799999999999 0.56)17.97% (-0.237 -0.24)12.26% (-0.318 -0.32)
Both teams to score 50.73% (-0.166 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.95% (0.292 0.29)40.05% (-0.288 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.58% (0.3 0.3)62.42% (-0.296 -0.3)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.66% (0.221 0.22)10.34% (-0.217 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.19% (0.49400000000001 0.49)33.81% (-0.491 -0.49)
Barwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.58% (-0.325 -0.32)43.42% (0.329 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.36% (-0.273 -0.27)79.64% (0.277 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Buxton 69.76%
    Barwell 12.26%
    Draw 17.97%
BuxtonDrawBarwell
2-0 @ 11.55% (0.06 0.06)
1-0 @ 10.19% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 8.74% (0.125 0.13)
3-1 @ 7.29% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
4-0 @ 4.96% (0.116 0.12)
4-1 @ 4.14% (0.06 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.25% (0.073 0.07)
5-1 @ 1.88% (0.044 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.73% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 4.36%
Total : 69.76%
1-1 @ 8.5% (-0.112 -0.11)
0-0 @ 4.49% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.02% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 17.97%
0-1 @ 3.75% (-0.084 -0.08)
1-2 @ 3.55% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-2 @ 1.56% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.12% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 0.99% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 12.26%