Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 46.25%. A win for Barwell had a probability of 29.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.72%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Barwell win was 2-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Buxton in this match.

Result
Barwell	Draw	Buxton
29.68% ( -0.07)	24.07% ( 0.13)	46.25% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 58.63% (

-0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.5% (

-0.63)

43.5% (

0.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.11% (

-0.62)

65.89% (

0.61)

Barwell Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.36% (

-0.36)

27.64% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.82% (

-0.47)

63.18% (

0.46)

Buxton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.02% (

-0.28)

18.98% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.48% (

-0.46)

50.52% (

0.45)

Score Analysis

Barwell 29.68%

Buxton 46.25%

Draw 24.06%

Barwell	Draw	Buxton
2-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.88% Total : 29.68%	1-1 @ 11.2% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.06%	1-2 @ 9.32% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 7.24% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 5.16% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 4.01% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 2.14% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.29% Total : 46.25%