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FA Cup | Third Round Qualifying Replays
Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Aggborough Stadium

Kidderminster
2 - 0
Buxton

Lambert (29'), Morgan-Smith (47')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the FA Cup Third Round Qualifying Replays clash between Kidderminster Harriers and Buxton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kidderminster Harriers

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Buxton 1-1 Kidderminster
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in FA Cup

Buxton

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Buxton 1-1 Kidderminster
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 56.6%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Buxton had a probability of 19.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Buxton win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kidderminster Harriers would win this match.

Result
Kidderminster HarriersDrawBuxton
56.6%23.72%19.68%
Both teams to score 49.01%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.92%51.08%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.07%72.94%
Kidderminster Harriers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.14%17.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.37%48.63%
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.66%40.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.04%76.96%
Score Analysis
    Kidderminster Harriers 56.59%
    Buxton 19.68%
    Draw 23.72%
Kidderminster HarriersDrawBuxton
1-0 @ 12.41%
2-0 @ 10.68%
2-1 @ 9.7%
3-0 @ 6.14%
3-1 @ 5.57%
4-0 @ 2.64%
3-2 @ 2.53%
4-1 @ 2.4%
4-2 @ 1.09%
5-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 56.59%
1-1 @ 11.26%
0-0 @ 7.2%
2-2 @ 4.41%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 23.72%
0-1 @ 6.54%
1-2 @ 5.12%
0-2 @ 2.97%
1-3 @ 1.55%
2-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 19.68%

Head to Head
Sep 28, 2024 3pm
Third Round Qualifying
Buxton
1-1
Kidderminster
Burton (66')
Ibbitson (69')
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 42
Kidderminster
1-0
Buxton
Hemmings (1')
Sep 27, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Buxton
1-1
Kidderminster
Kirby (46')
Ceesay (68')