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FA Cup

FA Cup | Fourth Round Qualifying
Oct 12, 2024 at 3pm UK
Tameside Stadium
King's Lynn

Curzon Ashton
1 - 0
King's Lynn

Lacey (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the FA Cup Fourth Round Qualifying clash between Curzon Ashton and King's Lynn Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Curzon Ashton

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Buxton 0-1 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League North

King's Lynn Town

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: King's Lynn 2-1 Darlington
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 55.39%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for King's Lynn Town had a probability of 20.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a King's Lynn Town win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Curzon Ashton in this match.

Result
Curzon AshtonDrawKing's Lynn Town
55.39% (0.017000000000003 0.02)23.68% (-0.012 -0.01)20.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.61% (0.033999999999999 0.03)49.39% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.57% (0.029 0.03)71.43% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)
Curzon Ashton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.32% (0.018000000000001 0.02)17.68% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.68% (0.029999999999994 0.03)48.32% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)
King's Lynn Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.95% (0.011000000000003 0.01)38.04% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.19% (0.012 0.01)74.81% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Curzon Ashton 55.38%
    King's Lynn Town 20.93%
    Draw 23.68%
Curzon AshtonDrawKing's Lynn Town
1-0 @ 11.65% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.09%
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 5.83% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 5.64% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-0 @ 2.53% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 2.44% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-2 @ 1.18% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 55.38%
1-1 @ 11.26%
0-0 @ 6.73% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.72% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 23.68%
0-1 @ 6.5% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.44%
0-2 @ 3.14% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.75% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 20.93%

Head to Head
Sep 7, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 8
King's Lynn
0-2
Curzon Ashton

Sass (10'), Johnson (17'), Hmami (47')
Mols (38'), Buckley-Ricketts (67')
Richards (90+2')
Jan 23, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
King's Lynn
0-4
Curzon Ashton
Mols (25', 62'), Barton (28'), Spencer (33')
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Curzon Ashton
1-1
King's Lynn
Storey (36')
Botelho Fatadjo (84')
Fatadjo (90+3')
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 46
King's Lynn
2-0
Curzon Ashton
Omotayo (16'), Barrett (60')
Sep 24, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Curzon Ashton
1-1
King's Lynn
Hancock (50' pen.)
Hargreaves (64')