National League North | Gameweek 14

Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK

Tameside Stadium

Curzon Ashton
4 - 0
Chester

Matthews (2'), Afuye (20'), Mols (27' pen.), Buckley-Ricketts (63')
Richards (53')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Woodthorpe (26'), Hancox (89')

Coverage of the National League North clash between Curzon Ashton and Chester FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Curzon Ashton

All competitions

National League North

Last Game: Scarborough Ath 0-2 Curzon Ashton
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in National League North

Goals
for

Chester FC

All competitions

National League North

Last Game: Chester 0-1 Buxton
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in National League North

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Chester FC had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Chester FC win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curzon Ashton would win this match.

Result
Curzon Ashton	Draw	Chester FC
43.42% ( 0.85)	26.47% ( 0.04)	30.11% ( -0.88)

Both teams to score 51.04% (

-0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.49% (

-0.47)

53.51% (

0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.98% (

-0.4)

75.02% (

0.4)

Curzon Ashton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.54% (

0.22)

24.46% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.1% (

0.31)

58.91% (

-0.3)

Chester FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.57% (

-0.87)

32.43% (

0.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.05% (

-1)

68.95% (

Score Analysis

Curzon Ashton 43.41%

Chester FC 30.11%

Draw 26.46%

Curzon Ashton	Draw	Chester FC
1-0 @ 11.16% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.58% Total : 43.41%	1-1 @ 12.57% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.46%	0-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.08% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.65% Total : 30.11%