National League North | Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2024 at 3pm UK
Tameside Stadium

Curzon Ashton
1 - 2
Hereford

Sinclair (6')
Griffiths (76'), Matthews (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Campbell (43'), Preston (48')
Howkins (31'), Campbell (34'), Teixeira (53'), Ceesay (83'), Hudson (87')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Curzon Ashton and Hereford United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Curzon Ashton

All competitions
National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 1-0 King's Lynn
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in FA Cup

Hereford United

All competitions
National League North
Last Game: Buxton 1-2 Hereford
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 45.22%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Curzon AshtonDrawHereford United
45.22% (0.324 0.32)26.26% (0.35 0.35)28.52% (-0.67 -0.67)
Both teams to score 50.8% (-1.478 -1.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.6% (-1.728 -1.73)53.4% (1.73 1.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.06% (-1.482 -1.48)74.94% (1.485 1.49)
Curzon Ashton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.46% (-0.59 -0.59)23.54% (0.592 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.41% (-0.866 -0.87)57.59% (0.869 0.87)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.44% (-1.41 -1.41)33.56% (1.412 1.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.79% (-1.569 -1.57)70.21% (1.572 1.57)
Score Analysis
    Curzon Ashton 45.22%
    Hereford United 28.52%
    Draw 26.25%
Curzon AshtonDrawHereford United
1-0 @ 11.42% (0.56 0.56)
2-1 @ 9.02% (-0.046000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 8.27% (0.272 0.27)
3-1 @ 4.35% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-0 @ 3.99% (0.063 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.15 -0.15)
4-1 @ 1.57% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.44% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 45.22%
1-1 @ 12.47% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 7.9% (0.523 0.52)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.22 -0.22)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.25%
0-1 @ 8.63% (0.254 0.25)
1-2 @ 6.81% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-2 @ 4.71% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.48% (-0.165 -0.17)
2-3 @ 1.79% (-0.153 -0.15)
0-3 @ 1.71% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 28.52%

Head to Head
Mar 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 37
Curzon Ashton
1-0
Hereford
Spencer (90+3')
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 13
Hereford
3-1
Curzon Ashton
Howkins (45+3'), Babos (65'), Rooney (90+5')
Howkins (69')
Sinclair (20')
D. (90+5'), Mason (90')
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 33
Hereford
0-2
Curzon Ashton
Campbell (4'), Walker (80' pen.)
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Curzon Ashton
1-3
Hereford
Peers (77')
Barnett (6', 65'), McLean (74')
Feb 22, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Curzon Ashton
3-0
Hereford
Peers (49'), Mahon (71'), Cooke (90+5')