Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 38.55%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 35.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.