National League North | Gameweek 19
Oct 12, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Silverlands

Buxton
1 - 2
Hereford

Kirby (26')
Fitzhugh (21'), Kirby (41'), Sault (44')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Rose (18'), Williams (90+3')
Rooney (21'), Robinson (27')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Buxton and Hereford United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Buxton

All competitions
National League North
Last Game: Buxton 0-1 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League North

Hereford United

All competitions
National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 0-0 Hereford
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 38.55%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 35.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
BuxtonDrawHereford United
38.55% (0.00099999999999767 0)26.37%35.08%
Both teams to score 52.89%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.16%51.83% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.41%73.59% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.74% (0.0010000000000048 0)26.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.63% (0.0010000000000048 0)61.37%
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.72%28.27% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.01%63.99% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    Buxton 38.55%
    Hereford United 35.08%
    Draw 26.37%
BuxtonDrawHereford United
1-0 @ 9.93%
2-1 @ 8.39%
2-0 @ 6.64% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.74%
3-0 @ 2.96%
3-2 @ 2.36%
4-1 @ 1.25%
4-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 38.55%
1-1 @ 12.54%
0-0 @ 7.42%
2-2 @ 5.3%
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.37%
0-1 @ 9.38%
1-2 @ 7.92%
0-2 @ 5.92%
1-3 @ 3.34%
0-3 @ 2.49%
2-3 @ 2.23%
1-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 35.08%

Head to Head
Apr 1, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 43
Hereford
2-2
Buxton
Williams (76', 90+3')
De Girolamo (45+2'), Howkins (70' og.)
Nov 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Buxton
2-1
Hereford
Burrow (40'), Hull (80')
Cowley (60')
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 29
Buxton
0-1
Hereford
Thompson-Sommers (55' pen.)
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 4
Hereford
2-0
Buxton
Haines (67'), Pinchard (85')