Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 53.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Buxton had a probability of 20.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Buxton win it was 0-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Chester FC	Draw	Buxton
53.77% ( -1.85)	25.76% ( 1.09)	20.46% ( 0.76)

Both teams to score 44.47% (

-1.86)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.28% (

-3.04)

57.72% (

3.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.53% (

-2.46)

78.47% (

2.46)

Chester FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.45% (

-1.96)

21.55% (

1.96)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.37% (

-3.1)

54.63% (

3.1)

Buxton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.68% (

-0.93)

43.32% (

0.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.44% (

-0.79)

79.56% (

0.79)

Score Analysis

Chester FC 53.76%

Buxton 20.46%

Draw 25.76%

Chester FC	Draw	Buxton
1-0 @ 14.32% ( 0.79) 2-0 @ 10.99% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.27) 3-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.37) 3-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.44) 4-0 @ 2.16% ( -0.29) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.24) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.29) Other @ 2.99% Total : 53.76%	1-1 @ 11.98% ( 0.37) 0-0 @ 9.34% ( 1.03) 2-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.22) Other @ 0.6% Total : 25.76%	0-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.68) 1-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.99% Total : 20.46%