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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 57.29%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 18.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 57.29% ( | 24% ( | 18.7% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.65% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.59% ( | 53.4% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.06% ( | 74.93% ( |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.53% ( | 18.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.33% ( | 49.66% ( |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.22% ( | 42.77% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.9% ( | 79.1% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 1-0 @ 13.34% 2-0 @ 11.26% 2-1 @ 9.57% 3-0 @ 6.35% ( 3-1 @ 5.39% ( 4-0 @ 2.68% ( 3-2 @ 2.29% 4-1 @ 2.28% ( 4-2 @ 0.97% 5-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.26% Total : 57.27% | 1-1 @ 11.33% 0-0 @ 7.9% 2-2 @ 4.06% Other @ 0.71% Total : 24% | 0-1 @ 6.71% ( 1-2 @ 4.81% 0-2 @ 2.85% ( 1-3 @ 1.36% 2-3 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 1.82% Total : 18.7% |