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Stevenage
League One | Gameweek 20
Dec 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Stockport County

Stevenage
2 - 1
Stockport

Kemp (22'), Reid (55' pen.)
Roberts (43'), Thompson (45'), Butler (62')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Camps (26')
Camps (40'), Bate (60'), Hinchliffe (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Stevenage and Stockport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Stockport County had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Stockport County win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
StevenageDrawStockport County
41.05% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)27.27% (-0.004999999999999 -0)31.67% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 49.25% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.9% (0.024000000000001 0.02)56.1% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.83% (0.018000000000001 0.02)77.17% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.13% (0.015000000000001 0.02)26.87% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.82% (0.018000000000001 0.02)62.18% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.35% (0.013999999999996 0.01)32.65% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.81% (0.016000000000002 0.02)69.19% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 41.04%
    Stockport County 31.68%
    Draw 27.27%
StevenageDrawStockport County
1-0 @ 11.52% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.48% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.58% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 3.71% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 3.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.08% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.22% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 41.04%
1-1 @ 12.9%
0-0 @ 8.77% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.27%
0-1 @ 9.82% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 7.22% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 5.5% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 2.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.05% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 31.68%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Stockport

Stevenage
42.9%
Draw
14.3%
Stockport County
42.9%
7
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 33
Stockport
2-0
Stevenage
Collar (34'), Rydel (90+5')
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Stevenage
2-1
Stockport
Norris (88' pen.), Reid (90+5')
Rose (85')
Camps (58')
Palmer (10'), Horsfall (66'), Sarcevic (75')
Palmer (87')
Apr 9, 2011 3pm
Stockport
2-2
Stevenage
Tansey (67' pen.), Paterson (70')
Tansey (76')
Wilson (90'), Roberts (56')
Aug 21, 2010 3pm
Stevenage
3-1
Stockport
Bostwick (43'), Griffin (29', 71')
Mousinho (41')
Donnelly (90')
Tansey (77')