Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Stockport County had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Stockport County win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.