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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Stockport County had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Stockport County win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stevenage | Draw | Stockport County |
| 41.05% ( | 27.27% ( | 31.67% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.25% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.9% ( | 56.1% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.83% ( | 77.17% ( |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.13% ( | 26.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.82% ( | 62.18% ( |
| Stockport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.35% ( | 32.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.81% ( | 69.19% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Stevenage | Draw | Stockport County |
| 1-0 @ 11.52% ( 2-1 @ 8.48% ( 2-0 @ 7.58% ( 3-1 @ 3.71% ( 3-0 @ 3.32% ( 3-2 @ 2.08% ( 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 4-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.05% Total : 41.04% | 1-1 @ 12.9% 0-0 @ 8.77% ( 2-2 @ 4.75% ( Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.27% | 0-1 @ 9.82% ( 1-2 @ 7.22% ( 0-2 @ 5.5% ( 1-3 @ 2.7% ( 0-3 @ 2.05% ( 2-3 @ 1.77% ( Other @ 2.62% Total : 31.68% |