Premier League | Gameweek 23
Jan 25, 2025 at 3pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Southampton1 - 3Newcastle
The Match
Match Report
Newcastle United move fourth in the Premier League table courtesy of a 3-1 success over basement side Southampton at St Mary's on Saturday afternoon.
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash between Southampton and Newcastle United.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Southampton and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Newcastle United could line up for Saturday's Premier League clash with Southampton at St Marys Stadium.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 3-2 Southampton
Sunday, January 19 at 2pm in Premier League
Sunday, January 19 at 2pm in Premier League
Goals
for
for
15
Last Game: Newcastle 1-4 Bournemouth
Saturday, January 18 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Saturday, January 18 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Goals
for
for
38
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 48.82%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.98%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Southampton win was 2-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Newcastle United |
28.81% ( 0.09) | 22.38% ( 0.02) | 48.82% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 64.13% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
