Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 22

Jan 18, 2025 at 12.30pm UK

St. James' Park

Newcastle
1 - 4
Bournemouth

Guimaraes (25')
Joelinton (45+5')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Kluivert (6', 44', 90+2'), Kerkez (90+6')
Kluivert (45+6'), Adams (45+5'), Christie (70'), Jebbison (75'), Ouattara (77'), Jebbison (90+2'), Kerkez (90+7')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Newcastle 3-0 Wolves
Wednesday, January 15 at 7.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Bournemouth

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Chelsea 2-2 Bournemouth
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 67.3%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 14.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 1-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.59%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-2 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle United	Draw	Bournemouth
67.3% ( -1.17)	18.47% ( 0.71)	14.23% ( 0.46)

Both teams to score 54.86% (

-1.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.43% (

-2.39)

37.57% (

2.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.2% (

-2.61)

59.81% (

2.62)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.72% (

-0.92)

10.28% (

0.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.33% (

-2.15)

33.67% (

2.16)

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.15% (

-0.91)

38.85% (

0.91)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.42% (

-0.87)

75.59% (

0.87)

Score Analysis

Newcastle United 67.3%

Bournemouth 14.23%

Draw 18.47%

Newcastle United	Draw	Bournemouth
2-0 @ 10.33% ( 0.37) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.68) 3-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.22) 4-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.2) 4-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.3) 3-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.19) 5-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.18) 4-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.2) 5-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.22) 5-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.85% Total : 67.3%	1-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.44) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4% ( 0.45) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.16% Total : 18.47%	1-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 3.78% ( 0.34) 0-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.87% Total : 14.23%