FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 11, 2025 at 3pm UK

Vitality Stadium

Bournemouth
5 - 1
West Brom

Kluivert (27'), Ouattara (34', 44'), Semenyo (47'), Jebbison (90+2')
Semenyo (60')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Taylor (14')
Holgate (18'), Taylor (45+1'), Furlong (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Bournemouth and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bournemouth

All competitions

Last Game: Bournemouth 1-0 Everton
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

West Bromwich Albion

All competitions

Last Game: Swansea 1-1 West Brom
Saturday, January 4 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 42.18%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.

Result
Bournemouth	Draw	West Bromwich Albion
42.18% ( -0.01)	25.52% ( -0.02)	32.3% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 55.01% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.19% (

0.08)

48.8% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.09% (

0.07)

70.9% (

-0.07)

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.99% (

0.03)

23.01% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.18% (

0.04)

56.81% (

-0.04)

West Bromwich Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.45% (

0.06)

28.55% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.66% (

0.07)

64.33% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Bournemouth 42.18%

West Bromwich Albion 32.3%

Draw 25.51%

Bournemouth	Draw	West Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 9.65% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.89% 2-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.35% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.47% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.6% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.28% 4-2 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 2.12% Total : 42.18%	1-1 @ 12.09% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.51%	0-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.58% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.16% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 32.3%