Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 40.27%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 32.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Derby County in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Derby County.