Championship Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2024 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • Jerry Yates 28' goal
  • Mason Holgate 68' goal
  • Ebou Adams 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tom Fellows 40'
  • goal Grady Diangana 81'

Derby County vs West Bromwich Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
Last game
Dec 20, 2024 8.00pm
Luton 2 - 1 Derby
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Jerry Yates

West Bromwich Albion

All competitions
Last game
Dec 22, 2024 3.00pm
West Brom 2 - 0 Bristol City
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Josh Maja

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 40.27%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 32.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Derby County in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Derby County.

Result

Derby County 40.27% (+0.20)
Draw 26.93% (-0.10)
West Bromwich Albion 32.8% (-0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.64% (+0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.51% (+0.36)
Under 2.5 54.49% (-0.35)
Over 3.5 24.15% (+0.30)
Under 3.5 75.85% (-0.30)
Over 4.5 10.82% (+0.19)
Under 4.5 89.18% (-0.18)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5 73.45% (+0.27)
Under 0.5 26.55% (-0.27)
Over 1.5 38.25% (+0.36)
Under 1.5 61.75% (-0.36)

West Bromwich Albion Goals

Over 0.5 68.94% (+0.12)
Under 0.5 31.06% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 32.63% (+0.14)
Under 1.5 67.37% (-0.13)

Score analysis

Derby County 40.27%
Draw 26.92%
West Bromwich Albion 32.8%
Derby County
1-0 @ 10.93% (-0.08)
2-1 @ 8.48% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 7.25% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.75% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.21% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.19% (+0.04)
4-1 @ 1.24% (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.06% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 40.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.78% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 8.24% (-0.12)
2-2 @ 4.96% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.92%
West Bromwich Albion
0-1 @ 9.64% (-0.11)
1-2 @ 7.48% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.64% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.91% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.2% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.93% (+0.03)
Other @ 3%
Total : 32.8%

Head to Head

EFL Cup
Aug 23, 2022 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • Louie Sibley 15' goal
  • yellowcard Tom Fellows 59'
Championship Gameweek 24
Dec 27, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Curtis Davies 18' yellowcard
  • Liam Thompson 20' yellowcard
  • Richard Stearman 51' yellowcard
  • Colin Kazim-Richards 58' goal
  • Eiram Cashin 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matt Clarke 36'
Championship Gameweek 7
Sep 14, 2021 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jake Livermore 45'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lee Buchanan 33'
Championship Gameweek 42
Jul 8, 2020 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Hawthorns
  • Grady Diangana 11' goal
  • Dara O'Shea 77' goal
  • yellowcard Graeme Shinnie 24'
  • yellowcard Morgan Whittaker 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Jason Knight 73'
  • yellowcard Jayden Bogle 88'
  • redcard Louie Sibley 90'+1'
Championship Gameweek 5
Aug 24, 2019 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Martyn Waghorn 6' goal
  • Tom Lawrence 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nathan Ferguson 37'
  • goal Kenneth Zohore 84'
Championship Gameweek 46
May 5, 2019 12.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Pride Park Stadium (Derby)
  • Martyn Waghorn 19' goal
  • Mason Bennett 70' goal
  • Mason Bennett 71' yellowcard
  • Harry Wilson 73' goal
  • yellowcard Kyle Bartley 16'
  • yellowcard Jay Rodriguez 23'
  • goal Stefan Johansen 47'
  • yellowcard Sam Johnstone 58'
  • yellowcard Stefan Johansen 59'
  • yellowcard Ahmed Hegazi 83'
  • redcard Hal Robson-Kanu 92'