Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 25

Feb 15, 2025 at 3pm UK

St. Mary's Stadium

Southampton
1 - 3
Bournemouth

Deen Sulemana (72')
Smallbone (10')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Ouattara (14'), Christie (16'), Tavernier (83')
Cook (8'), Semenyo (32'), Tavernier (78')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Southampton 0-1 Burnley
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Bournemouth

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Everton 0-2 Bournemouth
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.05%) and 0-2 (5.7%). The likeliest Southampton win was 2-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Bournemouth
35.97% ( 0.07)	23.68% ( -0.14)	40.35% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 62.54% (

0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.58% (

0.7)

39.42% (

-0.69)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.24% (

0.72)

61.76% (

-0.72)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.03% (

0.35)

21.97% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.73% (

0.53)

55.27% (

-0.53)

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.15% (

0.33)

19.85% (

-0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.05% (

0.53)

51.95% (

-0.53)

Score Analysis

Southampton 35.97%

Bournemouth 40.35%

Draw 23.67%

Southampton	Draw	Bournemouth
2-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.09% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 2.53% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 35.97%	1-1 @ 10.68% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 6.55% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.67%	1-2 @ 8.64% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.05% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 4.66% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 3.07% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.88% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.15% Total : 40.35%