Premier League Gameweek 25
Southampton
Feb 15, 2025 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT St. Mary's Stadium
Bournemouth
  • William Smallbone 10' yellowcard
  • Kamal Deen Sulemana 72' goal
  • yellowcard Lewis Cook 8'
  • goal Dango Ouattara 14'
  • goal Ryan Christie 16'
  • yellowcard Antoine Semenyo 32'
  • yellowcard Marcus Tavernier 78'
  • goal Marcus Tavernier 83'

Southampton vs Bournemouth - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions
Last game
Feb 1, 2025 3.00pm
Ipswich 1 - 2 Southampton
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Paul Onuachu

Bournemouth

All competitions
Last game
Feb 1, 2025 3.00pm
Bournemouth 0 - 2 Liverpool
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Justin Kluivert

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.05%) and 0-2 (5.7%). The likeliest Southampton win was 2-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.

Result

Southampton 35.97% ▲ (+0.07)
Draw 23.68% ▼ (-0.15)
Bournemouth 40.35% ▲ (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.54% ▲ (+0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.58% ▲ (+0.70)
Under 2.5 39.42% ▼ (-0.70)
Over 3.5 38.24% ▲ (+0.72)
Under 3.5 61.76% ▼ (-0.72)
Over 4.5 20.75% ▲ (+0.57)
Under 4.5 79.25% ▼ (-0.57)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5 78.03% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 0.5 21.97% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 1.5 44.73% ▲ (+0.53)
Under 1.5 55.27% ▼ (-0.53)

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5 80.15% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 0.5 19.85% ▼ (-0.33)
Over 1.5 48.05% ▲ (+0.53)
Under 1.5 51.95% ▼ (-0.53)

Score analysis

Southampton 35.97%
Draw 23.67%
Bournemouth 40.35%
Southampton
2-1 @ 8.1% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.61% ▼ (-0.15)
2-0 @ 5.01% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 4.09% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.31% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 2.53% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.55% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 35.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.68% ▼ (-0.14)
2-2 @ 6.55% ▲ (+0.06)
0-0 @ 4.36% ▼ (-0.15)
3-3 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.67%
Bournemouth
1-2 @ 8.64% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 7.05% ▼ (-0.16)
0-2 @ 5.7% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 4.66% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.07)
0-3 @ 3.07% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.88% ▲ (+0.04)
2-4 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.05)
0-4 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 40.35%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 6
Bournemouth
Sep 30, 2024 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT Vitality Stadium
Southampton
  • Evanilson 17' goal
  • Dango Ouattara 32' goal
  • Antoine Semenyo 39' goal
  • Marcus Tavernier 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Milos Kerkez 50' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mateus Fernandes 27'
  • goal Taylor Harwood-Bellis 51'
  • yellowcard Yukinari Sugawara 52'
  • yellowcard Tyler Obling 55'
  • yellowcard Flynn Downes 55'
  • yellowcard Adam Lallana 90'+4'
Club Friendlies 1
Southampton
Jul 25, 2023 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT
Bournemouth
  • Shea Charles 44' goal
  • Stuart Armstrong 65' goal
  • goal Dango Ouattara 15'
  • goal Ryan Christie 17'
  • goal David Brooks 83'
Premier League Gameweek 33
Southampton
Apr 27, 2023 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Bournemouth
  • goal Marcus Tavernier 50'
Premier League Gameweek 12
Bournemouth
Oct 19, 2022 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Southampton
  • goal Che Adams 9'
FA Cup
Bournemouth
Mar 20, 2021 12.15pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Vitality Stadium
Southampton
  • Jack Wilshere 84' yellowcard
  • Sam Surridge 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jan Bednarek 30'
  • goal Moussa Djenepo 37'
  • goal Nathan Redmond 45'+1'
  • goal Nathan Redmond 59'
  • yellowcard Jannik Vestergaard 74'
Premier League Gameweek 37
Bournemouth
Jul 19, 2020 2.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Vitality Stadium
Southampton
  • Philip Billing 47' yellowcard
  • Lewis Cook 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jannik Vestergaard 34'
  • goal Danny Ings 41'
  • yellowcard James Ward-Prowse 90'+3'
  • goal Che Adams 90'+8'

Form Data

Southampton 0 - 1 Burnley
Ipswich 1 - 2 Southampton
Southampton 1 - 3 Newcastle
Nott'm Forest 3 - 2 Southampton
Man Utd 3 - 1 Southampton
Southampton 3 - 0 Swansea
Everton 0 - 2 Bournemouth
Bournemouth 0 - 2 Liverpool
Bournemouth 5 - 0 Nott'm Forest
Newcastle 1 - 4 Bournemouth
Chelsea 2 - 2 Bournemouth
Bournemouth 5 - 1 West Brom

Build-up

Predicted Lineups