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UEFA Conference League

FC Copenhagen
Conference League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 13, 2025 at 8pm UK
Parken
Heidenheim

Copenhagen
1 - 2
Heidenheim

Larsson (45+1')
Larsson (50'), Huescas (58'), Gocholeishvili (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Keller (59'), Siersleben (85')
Mainka (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Conference League clash between Copenhagen and Heidenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Copenhagen

All competitions
Conference League
Last Game: Rapid Vienna 3-0 Copenhagen
Thursday, December 19 at 8pm in Conference League

Heidenheim

All competitions
Conference League
Last Game: Freiburg 1-0 Heidenheim
Saturday, February 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Copenhagen win with a probability of 52.31%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 25.55% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Copenhagen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.69%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
CopenhagenDrawHeidenheim
52.31% (0.007000000000005 0.01)22.14%25.55% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Both teams to score 62.02% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)37.5% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.26% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)59.73% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Copenhagen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.49% (0.00099999999999056 0)14.5% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.49% (0.0020000000000024 0)42.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.54% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)27.45% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.05% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)62.94% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Copenhagen 52.31%
    Heidenheim 25.55%
    Draw 22.14%
CopenhagenDrawHeidenheim
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 7.69% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 7.42% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 6.17%
3-0 @ 4.78% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.99%
4-1 @ 2.98%
4-0 @ 2.31% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.93%
5-1 @ 1.15%
Other @ 4.3%
Total : 52.31%
1-1 @ 9.94%
2-2 @ 6.2% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 3.98% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.72%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.14%
1-2 @ 6.42% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 5.15%
0-2 @ 3.33% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.77% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.43% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 25.55%

How you voted: Copenhagen vs Heidenheim

Copenhagen
76.0%
Draw
12.0%
Heidenheim
12.0%
75