We said: Augsburg 2-0 Heidenheim
It is hard to look beyond a routine Augsburg success this weekend, with their opponents failing to claim maximum points on their travels since September, picking up one point from a possible 18.
The hosts had clinched three wins in four before coming unstuck against the defending champions Leverkusen and fourth-placed Stuttgart; they should return to winning ways on Saturday with a comfortable triumph.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 45.69%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Augsburg in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Augsburg.