Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 45.69%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Augsburg in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Augsburg.