Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 46.05%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 0-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.