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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 46.05%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 0-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Werder Bremen | Draw | Heidenheim |
| 46.05% ( | 24.76% ( | 29.2% ( |
| Both teams to score 56% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.18% ( | 46.82% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.92% ( | 69.07% ( |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.6% ( | 20.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.17% ( | 52.83% ( |
| Heidenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.35% ( | 29.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.3% ( | 65.69% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Werder Bremen | Draw | Heidenheim |
| 1-0 @ 9.62% ( 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 2-0 @ 7.64% ( 3-1 @ 4.92% ( 3-0 @ 4.05% ( 3-2 @ 2.99% ( 4-1 @ 1.96% ( 4-0 @ 1.61% ( 4-2 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 2.78% Total : 46.05% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( 0-0 @ 6.05% ( 2-2 @ 5.65% ( 3-3 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.75% | 0-1 @ 7.35% ( 1-2 @ 7.11% ( 0-2 @ 4.47% ( 1-3 @ 2.88% ( 2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0-3 @ 1.81% ( Other @ 3.29% Total : 29.2% |