Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 18

Jan 18, 2025 at 2.30pm UK

Voith-Arena

Heidenheim
0 - 2
St Pauli

Kerber (84')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Eggestein (25' pen.), Guilavogui (90+2')
Sands (38'), Smith (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Heidenheim and St Pauli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heidenheim

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Werder Bremen 3-3 Heidenheim
Wednesday, January 15 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

St Pauli

All competitions

Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-0 St Pauli
Wednesday, January 15 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 36.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.

Result
Heidenheim	Draw	St Pauli
36.28% ( 0.15)	25.08% ( 0.03)	38.64% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 57.43% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.94% (

-0.14)

46.06% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.64% (

-0.13)

68.36% (

0.13)

Heidenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.15% (

0.02)

24.84% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.56% (

0.02)

59.44% (

-0.03)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.42% (

-0.16)

23.58% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.35% (

-0.23)

57.64% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

Heidenheim 36.28%

St Pauli 38.64%

Draw 25.07%

Heidenheim	Draw	St Pauli
2-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.16% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.84% Total : 36.28%	1-1 @ 11.78% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.07%	1-2 @ 8.52% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.07% Total : 38.64%