Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 20

Feb 1, 2025 at 2.30pm UK

Voith-Arena

Heidenheim
1 - 2
Dortmund

Honsak (64')
Fohrenbach (38')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Guirassy (33'), Beier (63')
Duranville (14'), Reyna (88'), Kobel (90+1'), Guirassy (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Heidenheim and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heidenheim

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Augsburg 2-1 Heidenheim
Saturday, January 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Dortmund 3-1 Shakhtar
Wednesday, January 29 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 47.66%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.65%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 2-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Borussia Dortmund.

Result
Heidenheim	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
29.28% ( -0.06)	23.05% ( -0)	47.66% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 62% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.06% (

-0.03)

38.94% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.74% (

-0.03)

61.26% (

0.04)

Heidenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.39% (

-0.05)

25.61% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.5% (

-0.08)

60.5% (

0.08)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.35% (

0.01)

16.65% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.49% (

0.02)

46.5% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Heidenheim 29.28%

Borussia Dortmund 47.66%

Draw 23.05%

Heidenheim	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.81% 2-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.22% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.44% Total : 29.28%	1-1 @ 10.41% 2-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.73% ( -0) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.05%	1-2 @ 9.33% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.85% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.58% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.1% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.8% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.5% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.84% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.7% Other @ 4.32% Total : 47.66%