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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 56.92%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 22.59% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.29%) and 3-1 (6.86%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Werder Bremen |
56.92% (![]() | 20.48% (![]() | 22.59% (![]() |
Both teams to score 64.49% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.28% (![]() | 32.71% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.6% (![]() | 54.39% (![]() |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.47% (![]() | 11.53% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.57% (![]() | 36.43% (![]() |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.9% (![]() | 27.1% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.52% (![]() | 62.48% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Werder Bremen |
2-1 @ 9.52% (![]() 2-0 @ 7.29% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.86% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 6.75% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.25% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.48% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.7% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.84% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.42% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.6% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.23% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.05% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.05% ( ![]() Other @ 2.9% Total : 56.92% | 1-1 @ 8.81% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.21% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.12% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.95% ( ![]() Other @ 0.39% Total : 20.48% | 1-2 @ 5.75% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.08% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.7% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.66% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.5% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.16% ( ![]() Other @ 3.74% Total : 22.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 22 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 65 | 19 | 46 | 55 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 22 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 47 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 42 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 37 |
5 | Freiburg | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 36 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 35 |
7 | Stuttgart | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 40 | 33 | 7 | 35 |
8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 34 |
9 | Wolfsburg | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 33 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 30 |
11 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 29 |
12 | Augsburg | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 28 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 24 |
14 | St Pauli | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 21 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 21 |
16 | Heidenheim | 22 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 25 | 45 | -20 | 14 |
17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 21 | 46 | -25 | 14 |
18 | Holstein Kiel | 22 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 13 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |