Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 19

Jan 25, 2025 at 2.30pm UK

Signal-Iduna-Park

Dortmund
2 - 2
Werder Bremen

Guirassy (28'), Friedl (51' og.)
Ryerson (10')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bittencourt (65'), Ducksch (72')
Bittencourt (63'), Njinmah (79'), Stage (87'), Friedl (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Bologna 2-1 Dortmund
Tuesday, January 21 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Werder Bremen

All competitions

Last Game: Werder Bremen 0-2 Augsburg
Sunday, January 19 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 56.92%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 22.59% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.29%) and 3-1 (6.86%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Werder Bremen
56.92% ( 0.17)	20.48% ( -0.07)	22.59% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 64.49% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.28% (

0.23)

32.71% (

-0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.6% (

0.27)

54.39% (

-0.27)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.47% (

0.12)

11.53% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.57% (

0.26)

36.43% (

-0.26)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.9% (

0.05)

27.1% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.52% (

0.07)

62.48% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 56.92%

Werder Bremen 22.59%

Draw 20.48%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Werder Bremen
2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.7% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.6% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.9% Total : 56.92%	1-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.39% Total : 20.48%	1-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.08% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.74% Total : 22.59%