Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 21

Feb 8, 2025 at 2.30pm UK

Schwarzwald-Stadion

Freiburg
1 - 0
Heidenheim

Grifo (30')
Eggestein (45+4'), Holer (55'), Grifo (76')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gimber (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Heidenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions

Last Game: VfL Bochum 0-1 Freiburg
Saturday, February 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Heidenheim

All competitions

Last Game: Heidenheim 1-2 Dortmund
Saturday, February 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 51.12%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 25.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
Freiburg	Draw	Heidenheim
51.12% ( 0.1)	23.53% ( 0.01)	25.35% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 56.91% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.84% (

-0.12)

44.16% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.46% (

-0.12)

66.54% (

0.12)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.67% (

-0.01)

17.33% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.3% (

-0.02)

47.7% (

0.02)

Heidenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.84% (

-0.15)

31.16% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.51% (

-0.17)

67.5% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Freiburg 51.12%

Heidenheim 25.35%

Draw 23.53%

Freiburg	Draw	Heidenheim
2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.65% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.48% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.85% Total : 51.12%	1-1 @ 11.03% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.53%	1-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.3% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.83% Total : 25.35%