Bundesliga Gameweek 21
Feb 8, 2025 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Schwarzwald-Stadion
  • Vincenzo Grifo 30' goal
  • Maximilian Eggestein 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Lucas Holer 55' yellowcard
  • Vincenzo Grifo 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Benedikt Gimber 18'

Freiburg vs Heidenheim - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions
Last game
Feb 1, 2025 2.30pm
VfL Bochum 0 - 1 Freiburg
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Ritsu Doan

Heidenheim

All competitions
Last game
Feb 1, 2025 2.30pm
Heidenheim 1 - 2 Dortmund
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Marvin Pieringer

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 51.12%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 25.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result

Freiburg 51.12% (+0.10)
Draw 23.53% (+0.01)
Heidenheim 25.35% (-0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.91% (-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.84% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 44.16% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 33.46% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 66.54% (+0.13)
Over 4.5 17.13% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 82.87% (+0.10)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5 82.67% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 17.33% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 52.3% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 47.7% (+0.03)

Heidenheim Goals

Over 0.5 68.84% (-0.15)
Under 0.5 31.16% (+0.16)
Over 1.5 32.51% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 67.5% (+0.18)

Score analysis

Freiburg 51.12%
Draw 23.53%
Heidenheim 25.35%
Freiburg
2-1 @ 9.67% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 9.47% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 8.3% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.65% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.85% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.48% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.12% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 51.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.03% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.4% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.53%
Heidenheim
1-2 @ 6.43% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 6.3% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.67% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.5% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.19% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.43% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 25.35%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 4
Sep 21, 2024 2.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT Voith-Arena
  • Marvin Pieringer 74' yellowcard
  • goal Ritsu Doan 54'
  • yellowcard Chukwubuike Adamu 57'
  • goal Vincenzo Grifo 59'
  • goal Vincenzo Grifo 65'
Bundesliga Gameweek 33
May 11, 2024 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Schwarzwald-Stadion
  • Ritsu Doan 29' goal
  • Vincenzo Grifo 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kevin Sessa 18'
  • goal Kevin Sessa 38'
Bundesliga Gameweek 16
Dec 20, 2023 7.30pm
3
2
HT : 0 1
FT Voith-Arena
  • Jan Schoppner 33' yellowcard
  • Jonas Fohrenbach 37' yellowcard
  • Eren Dinkci 52' goal
  • Benedikt Gimber 63' yellowcard
  • Tim Kleindienst 84' goal
  • Matthias Ginter 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Manuel Gulde 5'
  • goal Lucas Holer 7'
  • yellowcard Kiliann Sildillia 36'
  • yellowcard Merlin Rohl 60'
  • goal Lucas Holer 64'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Hofler 76'