Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 19

Jan 25, 2025 at 2.30pm UK

Schwarzwald-Stadion

Freiburg
1 - 2
Bayern

Ginter (68', 68')
Kubler (52'), Kubler (52'), Atubolu (54'), Atubolu (54'), Doan (76'), Doan (76'), Schuster (90+2'), Grifo (90+2'), Schuster (90+2'), Grifo (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Kane (15', 15'), Min-jae (54', 54')
Kane (63'), Kane (63'), Muller (90+3'), Muller (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions

Last Game: Stuttgart 4-0 Freiburg
Saturday, January 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Feyenoord 3-0 Bayern
Wednesday, January 22 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 60.73%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 19.95% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.45%) and 1-3 (7.28%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (5.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bayern Munich in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bayern Munich.

Result
Freiburg	Draw	Bayern Munich
19.95% ( 1.41)	19.31% ( 0.09)	60.73% ( -1.51)

Both teams to score 64.74% (

2.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.35% (

1.93)

30.64% (

-1.93)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.03% (

2.27)

51.96% (

-2.27)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.87% (

2.51)

28.13% (

-2.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.19% (

3.08)

63.8% (

-3.09)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.08% (

0.19)

9.92% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.16% (

0.46)

32.83% (

-0.46)

Score Analysis

Freiburg 19.95%

Bayern Munich 60.73%

Draw 19.31%

Freiburg	Draw	Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.22) 1-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 2.24% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 2.19% ( 0.23) 3-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.31% Total : 19.95%	1-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.3) 0-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.31) 3-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.24) Other @ 0.4% Total : 19.31%	1-2 @ 9.45% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 7.45% ( -0.69) 1-3 @ 7.28% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.66) 0-3 @ 5.74% ( -0.48) 2-3 @ 4.62% ( 0.27) 1-4 @ 4.2% ( -0) 0-4 @ 3.32% ( -0.24) 2-4 @ 2.67% ( 0.18) 1-5 @ 1.94% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 1.53% ( -0.1) 2-5 @ 1.23% ( 0.09) 3-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.15) Other @ 3.74% Total : 60.73%