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Bundesliga | Gameweek 19
Jan 25, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
Bayern logo

Freiburg
1 - 2
Bayern

Ginter (68')
Kubler (52'), Atubolu (54'), Doan (76'), Schuster (90+2'), Grifo (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kane (15'), Min-jae (54')
Kane (63'), Muller (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stuttgart 4-0 Freiburg
Saturday, January 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Feyenoord 3-0 Bayern
Wednesday, January 22 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Freiburg 0-3 Bayern Munich

Bayern's phenomenal record in front of goal should make them clear favourites to win on Saturday despite not scoring last time out. Freiburg have struggled in the final third this campaign, and it would not be surprising if they failed to find the back of the net on the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 60.73%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 19.95% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.45%) and 1-3 (7.28%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (5.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bayern Munich in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bayern Munich.

Result
FreiburgDrawBayern Munich
19.95% (1.414 1.41) 19.31% (0.085000000000001 0.09) 60.73% (-1.505 -1.51)
Both teams to score 64.74% (2.403 2.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.35% (1.926 1.93)30.64% (-1.932 -1.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.03% (2.267 2.27)51.96% (-2.272 -2.27)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.87% (2.513 2.51)28.13% (-2.519 -2.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.19% (3.082 3.08)63.8% (-3.088 -3.09)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.08% (0.19499999999999 0.19)9.92% (-0.2 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.16% (0.45700000000001 0.46)32.83% (-0.46299999999999 -0.46)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 19.95%
    Bayern Munich 60.73%
    Draw 19.31%
FreiburgDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 5.19% (0.217 0.22)
1-0 @ 3.54% (-0.129 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.53% (0.29 0.29)
2-0 @ 2.24% (0.076 0.08)
3-1 @ 2.19% (0.234 0.23)
3-0 @ 0.95% (0.094 0.09)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 19.95%
1-1 @ 8.18% (-0.224 -0.22)
2-2 @ 5.99% (0.302 0.3)
0-0 @ 2.79% (-0.311 -0.31)
3-3 @ 1.95% (0.238 0.24)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 19.31%
1-2 @ 9.45% (-0.175 -0.18)
0-2 @ 7.45% (-0.688 -0.69)
1-3 @ 7.28% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-1 @ 6.45% (-0.656 -0.66)
0-3 @ 5.74% (-0.476 -0.48)
2-3 @ 4.62% (0.27 0.27)
1-4 @ 4.2% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 3.32% (-0.244 -0.24)
2-4 @ 2.67% (0.178 0.18)
1-5 @ 1.94% (0.015 0.02)
0-5 @ 1.53% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-5 @ 1.23% (0.092 0.09)
3-4 @ 1.13% (0.146 0.15)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 60.73%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Bayern

Freiburg
10.0%
Draw
16.0%
Bayern Munich
74.0%
50
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 2
Bayern
2-0
Freiburg
Kane (38' pen.), Muller (78')
Upamecano (31')
Mar 1, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 24
Freiburg
2-2
Bayern
Gunter (12'), Holer (87')
Holer (90+4')
Tel (35'), Musiala (75')
Tel (73'), Pavlovic (79')
Oct 8, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 7
Bayern
3-0
Freiburg
Coman (12', 85'), Sane (25')
Mazraoui (16')
Apr 8, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 27
Freiburg
0-1
Bayern
De Ligt (51')
Apr 4, 2023 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Bayern
1-2
Freiburg
Upamecano (19')
Hofler (27'), Holer (90+5' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern22174165194655
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen22138149272247
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt22126449292042
4RB Leipzig2210753629737
5Freiburg2211382936-736
6Stuttgart2210574033735
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach2210483532334
8Wolfsburg229674536933
9Mainz 05Mainz219573324932
10Werder Bremen228683542-730
11Borussia DortmundDortmund228593738-129
12Augsburg227782435-1128
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2266102129-824
14St Pauli2263131825-721
15Hoffenheim2256112945-1621
16Heidenheim2142152543-1814
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum2235142146-2514
18Holstein Kiel2234153457-2313


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