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Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Jan 15, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Hoffenheim logo

Bayern
5 - 0
Hoffenheim

Sane (7', 48'), Guerreiro (12'), Kane (26' pen.), Gnabry (66')
Muller (61')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Kaderabek (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 87.32%. A draw had a probability of 8.7% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 4.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 4-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.01%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (1.31%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 5-0 win for Bayern Munich in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bayern Munich.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawHoffenheim
87.32% (0.11200000000001 0.11)8.65% (-0.078999999999999 -0.08)4.02% (-0.036099999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 46.26% (0.109 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
76.14% (0.262 0.26)23.86% (-0.265 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
56.58% (0.347 0.35)43.41% (-0.351 -0.35)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.46% (0.055999999999997 0.06)3.53% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
84.66% (0.19 0.19)15.34% (-0.193 -0.19)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.96% (0.084000000000003 0.08)52.04% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.97% (0.055999999999999 0.06)86.03% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 87.31%
    Hoffenheim 4.02%
    Draw 8.65%
Bayern MunichDrawHoffenheim
3-0 @ 11.44% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 10.27% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-0 @ 9.57% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.48% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.71% (-0.038 -0.04)
5-0 @ 6.4% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
4-1 @ 6.25% (0.026 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.14% (-0.081 -0.08)
5-1 @ 4.18% (0.037 0.04)
6-0 @ 3.57% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.44% (0.004 0)
6-1 @ 2.33% (0.032 0.03)
4-2 @ 2.04% (0.013 0.01)
7-0 @ 1.7% (0.027 0.03)
5-2 @ 1.37% (0.016 0.02)
7-1 @ 1.11% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 4.32%
Total : 87.31%
1-1 @ 4.01% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-2 @ 2.19% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-0 @ 1.84% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 8.65%
1-2 @ 1.31% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-1 @ 1.2% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 4.02%

How you voted: Bayern vs Hoffenheim

Bayern Munich
84.8%
Draw
9.1%
Hoffenheim
6.1%
66
Head to Head
May 18, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
Hoffenheim
4-2
Bayern
Beier (8'), Kramaric (68', 85', 87')
Promel (51'), Grillitsch (54'), Kramaric (88')
Tel (4'), Davies (6')
Zaragoza (90+4')
Jan 12, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 17
Bayern
3-0
Hoffenheim
Musiala (18', 70'), Kane (90')
Pavlovic (83')

Stach (16'), Promel (42')
Promel (74')
Apr 15, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 28
Bayern
1-1
Hoffenheim
Pavard (17')
Kramaric (71')
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Mar 12, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 26
Hoffenheim
1-1
Bayern
Baumgartner (32')
Samassekou (30'), Grillitsch (38'), Rutter (45+1'), Posch (66')
Lewandowski (45+3')
Hernandez (44')