Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 48.93%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 29.23% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.25%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.