Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 46.56%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 30.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.59%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.