Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 18

Jan 18, 2025 at 2.30pm UK

Allianz Arena

Bayern
3 - 2
Wolfsburg

Goretzka (20', 62'), Olise (39')
Kimmich (79'), Laimer (83')

FT(HT: 2-1)

El Amine Amoura (24', 88')
Maehle (45+2'), Wimmer (61'), Fischer (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Bayern 5-0 Hoffenheim
Wednesday, January 15 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Wolfsburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Wolfsburg 5-1 Borussia M'bach
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 82.17%. A draw had a probability of 11.5% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 6.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 3-1 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.26%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern Munich	Draw	Wolfsburg
82.17% ( 1.16)	11.46% ( -0.67)	6.37% ( -0.49)

Both teams to score 50.68% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.72% (

1.52)

27.28% (

-1.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.16% (

1.89)

47.84% (

-1.89)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.09% (

0.48)

4.91% (

-0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

80.3% (

1.43)

19.7% (

-1.43)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.29% (

-0.13)

46.71% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.73% (

-0.1)

82.26% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Bayern Munich 82.17%

Wolfsburg 6.37%

Draw 11.46%

Bayern Munich	Draw	Wolfsburg
3-0 @ 10.46% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 10.41% ( -0.29) 3-1 @ 7.97% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.25) 4-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.27) 1-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.42) 4-1 @ 6% ( 0.19) 5-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.31) 5-1 @ 3.62% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.22) 4-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.06) 6-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.17) 5-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.08) 7-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.13) Other @ 4.3% Total : 82.17%	1-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.34) 2-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.22) Other @ 0.89% Total : 11.46%	1-2 @ 2% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.17) Other @ 2.62% Total : 6.37%