Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 82.17%. A draw had a probability of 11.5% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 6.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 3-1 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.26%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.