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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 36.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.99%) and 2-0 (5.58%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.
Result | ||
Wolfsburg | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
39.53% (![]() | 23.71% (![]() | 36.75% (![]() |
Both teams to score 62.51% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.51% (![]() | 39.49% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.16% (![]() | 61.83% (![]() |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.74% (![]() | 20.26% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.4% (![]() | 52.6% (![]() |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.39% (![]() | 21.6% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.29% (![]() | 54.71% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Wolfsburg | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
2-1 @ 8.55% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.99% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.58% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.55% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.49% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.97% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.82% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.39% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.19% ( ![]() Other @ 3.02% Total : 39.53% | 1-1 @ 10.7% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.55% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.38% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.78% ( ![]() Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.71% | 1-2 @ 8.2% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.71% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.14% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.19% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.35% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.62% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.61% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.28% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 2.66% Total : 36.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 22 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 65 | 19 | 46 | 55 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 22 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 47 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 42 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 37 |
5 | Freiburg | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 36 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 35 |
7 | Stuttgart | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 40 | 33 | 7 | 35 |
8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 34 |
9 | Wolfsburg | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 33 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 30 |
11 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 29 |
12 | Augsburg | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 28 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 24 |
14 | St Pauli | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 21 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 21 |
16 | Heidenheim | 22 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 25 | 45 | -20 | 14 |
17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 21 | 46 | -25 | 14 |
18 | Holstein Kiel | 22 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 13 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |