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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 36.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.99%) and 2-0 (5.58%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
| 39.53% ( | 23.71% ( | 36.75% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.51% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.51% ( | 39.49% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.16% ( | 61.83% ( |
| Wolfsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.74% ( | 20.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.4% ( | 52.6% ( |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.39% ( | 21.6% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.29% ( | 54.71% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
| 2-1 @ 8.55% ( 1-0 @ 6.99% ( 2-0 @ 5.58% ( 3-1 @ 4.55% ( 3-2 @ 3.49% ( 3-0 @ 2.97% ( 4-1 @ 1.82% ( 4-2 @ 1.39% ( 4-0 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 3.02% Total : 39.53% | 1-1 @ 10.7% ( 2-2 @ 6.55% ( 0-0 @ 4.38% ( 3-3 @ 1.78% ( Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.71% | 1-2 @ 8.2% ( 0-1 @ 6.71% ( 0-2 @ 5.14% ( 1-3 @ 4.19% ( 2-3 @ 3.35% ( 0-3 @ 2.62% ( 1-4 @ 1.61% ( 2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0-4 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.66% Total : 36.75% |