Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 20

Feb 1, 2025 at 2.30pm UK

Vonovia Ruhrstadion

VfL Bochum
0 - 1
Freiburg

Bero (42'), Bernardo (63'), Sissoko (84')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sildillia (34')
Atubolu (74'), Hofler (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between VfL Bochum and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

VfL Bochum

All competitions

Last Game: Borussia M'bach 3-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, January 25 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Freiburg

All competitions

Last Game: Freiburg 1-2 Bayern
Saturday, January 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 51.59%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 25.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
VfL Bochum	Draw	Freiburg
51.59% ( 0.19)	22.81% ( 0.01)	25.6% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 59.66% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.36% (

-0.24)

40.63% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.98% (

-0.24)

63.01% (

0.23)

VfL Bochum Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.13% (

-0.02)

15.86% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.93% (

-0.03)

45.07% (

0.02)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.91% (

-0.28)

29.08% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35% (

-0.35)

65% (

0.34)

Score Analysis

VfL Bochum 51.59%

Freiburg 25.6%

Draw 22.81%

VfL Bochum	Draw	Freiburg
2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.93% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.73% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.61% Total : 51.59%	1-1 @ 10.49% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.81%	1-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.7% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.33% Total : 25.6%