Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 51.59%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 25.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.