Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 31
May 3, 2025 at 7.15pm UK
Stadion MOS Poznan

Lech Poznan
8 - 1
Puszcza Niepolomice

Gholizadeh (3', 14'), Ishak (16', 56'), Sousa (32', 35'), Lisman (64'), Hotic (82')
FT(HT: 5-1)
Atanasov (21')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Lech Poznan and Puszcza Niepolomice.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Radomiak Radom 2-2 Lech Poznan
Sunday, April 27 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Puszcza Niepolomice 4-5 Szczecin
Friday, April 25 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 71.89%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Puszcza Niepolomice had a probability of 10.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.71%) and 3-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.39%), while for a Puszcza Niepolomice win it was 0-1 (3.76%). The actual scoreline of 8-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.

Result
Lech PoznanDrawPuszcza Niepolomice
71.89% (-1.484 -1.48)17.64% (0.801 0.8)10.46% (0.684 0.68)
Both teams to score 45.64% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.48% (-1.61 -1.61)43.51% (1.613 1.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.09% (-1.602 -1.6)65.91% (1.603 1.6)
Lech Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.25% (-0.80200000000001 -0.8)10.74% (0.802 0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.29% (-1.821 -1.82)34.71% (1.822 1.82)
Puszcza Niepolomice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.14% (0.305 0.31)48.86% (-0.303 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.14% (0.217 0.22)83.85% (-0.215 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Lech Poznan 71.89%
    Puszcza Niepolomice 10.46%
    Draw 17.64%
Lech PoznanDrawPuszcza Niepolomice
2-0 @ 13.06% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-0 @ 11.71% (0.43 0.43)
3-0 @ 9.71% (-0.307 -0.31)
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.11 0.11)
3-1 @ 6.96% (-0.158 -0.16)
4-0 @ 5.42% (-0.367 -0.37)
4-1 @ 3.88% (-0.227 -0.23)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.035 -0.03)
5-0 @ 2.42% (-0.253 -0.25)
5-1 @ 1.73% (-0.165 -0.17)
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 71.89%
1-1 @ 8.39% (0.377 0.38)
0-0 @ 5.25% (0.362 0.36)
2-2 @ 3.35% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 17.64%
0-1 @ 3.76% (0.29 0.29)
1-2 @ 3% (0.16 0.16)
0-2 @ 1.35% (0.114 0.11)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 10.46%

Head to Head
Nov 2, 2024 7.15pm
Gameweek 14
Puszcza Niepolomice
2-0
Lech Poznan
Szymonowicz (33'), Kosidis (44')
Szymonowicz (36'), Solowiej (40'), Abramowicz (45+4'), Serafin (71'), Hajda (78'), Siemaszko (90+2')

Sousa (59')
Gurgul (23')
Apr 13, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 28
Puszcza Niepolomice
2-1
Lech Poznan
Majchrzak (7'), Craciun (23')
Komar (25'), Serafin (55'), Koj (56')
Ishak (87')
Blazic (24'), Sousa (55')
Oct 6, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 11
Lech Poznan
4-1
Puszcza Niepolomice
Ba Loua (2'), Karlstrom (43'), Ishak (51'), Milic (90+5')
Zapolnik (4')
Craciun (33')
rhs 2.0


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