Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 30
Apr 27, 2025 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion MOSiR ul. Narutowicza

Radomiak Radom
2 - 2
Lech Poznan

Capita (79'), Tapsoba (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Ishak (5'), Jagiello (34')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Radomiak Radom and Lech Poznan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Radomiak Radom

All competitions
Last Game: Puszcza Niepolomice 2-2 Radomiak Radom
Monday, April 21 at 11.15am in Polish Ekstraklasa

Lech Poznan

All competitions
Last Game: Lech Poznan 2-1 Cracovia
Monday, April 21 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 45.56%. A win for Radomiak Radom had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Radomiak Radom win was 1-0 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Radomiak RadomDrawLech Poznan
29% (-0.798 -0.8)25.43% (0.074999999999999 0.07)45.56% (0.724 0.72)
Both teams to score 53.66% (-0.71400000000001 -0.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.18% (-0.714 -0.71)49.82% (0.716 0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.18% (-0.641 -0.64)71.82% (0.642 0.64)
Radomiak Radom Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.67% (-0.94 -0.94)31.33% (0.941 0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.31% (-1.105 -1.11)67.69% (1.107 1.11)
Lech Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.15% (0.031000000000006 0.03)21.85% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.91% (0.045000000000002 0.05)55.09% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Radomiak Radom 29%
    Lech Poznan 45.56%
    Draw 25.43%
Radomiak RadomDrawLech Poznan
1-0 @ 7.95% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.01% (-0.155 -0.16)
2-0 @ 4.61% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-1 @ 2.71% (-0.133 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-0 @ 1.78% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 29%
1-1 @ 12.08% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.85% (0.197 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.33% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.43%
0-1 @ 10.41% (0.31 0.31)
1-2 @ 9.19% (0.045 0.04)
0-2 @ 7.92% (0.241 0.24)
1-3 @ 4.66% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 4.01% (0.126 0.13)
2-3 @ 2.7% (-0.055 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.77% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.53% (0.049 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.03% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 45.56%

Head to Head
Oct 26, 2024 7.15pm
Gameweek 13
Lech Poznan
2-1
Radomiak Radom
Pereira (17'), Ishak (72')
Ouattara (49')
Ouattara (16'), Donis (54'), Goncalves (90+4')
Dec 16, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 19
Radomiak Radom
2-2
Lech Poznan
Abramowicz (79'), Rocha (90+5')
Donis (15'), Pik (47'), Raphael (64'), Henrique (90+4'), Rocha (90+7')
Kvekveskiri (30'), Pereira (50')
van den Brom (0'), Salamon (16'), Velde (16'), Hotic (18'), Karlstrom (33'), Marchwinski (54'), Murawski (64'), Mrozek (68'), Velde (76')
Karlstrom (64')
Jul 30, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 2
Lech Poznan
2-0
Radomiak Radom
Ishak (40'), Szymczak (83')
van den Brom (0'), Murawski (25'), Andersson (56'), Velde (57'), Douglas (82')

Machado (25'), Jakubik (53')