Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 45.56%. A win for Radomiak Radom had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Radomiak Radom win was 1-0 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.