Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 59.28%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for KS Cracovia had a probability of 18.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a KS Cracovia win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.