Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 76.77%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for FK Haugesund had a probability of 9.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.32%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.4%), while for a FK Haugesund win it was 1-2 (2.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bodo/Glimt would win this match.