Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 59.56%. A draw had a probability of 21.44% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 18.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%) , while for a Famalicao win it was 1-2 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.