Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 35.96%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 28.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.65%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 0-1 (11.48%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.