Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 51.23%. A win for Dender had a probability of 25.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Dender win was 1-2 (6.53%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.