Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Standard Liege win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for Dender had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Standard Liege win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Dender win was 1-0 (9.53%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.