Championship
Gameweek
23
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-
Mark Harris
41'
-
Ciaron Brown
53'
-
Przemyslaw Placheta
57'
-
Siriki Dembele
83'
-
Alex Robertson
80'
-
Cian Ashford
82'
-
Callum Robinson
90'+4'
Oxford United vs Cardiff City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
Result
Oxford United
33.08%
▼
(-0.40)
Draw
26.08%
▼
(-0.10)
Cardiff City
40.84%
▲
(+0.49)
Both Teams to Score:
53.43%
▲
(+0.20)
Goals
Over 2.5
49.04%
▲
(+0.30)
Under 2.5
50.95%
▼
(-0.30)
Over 3.5
27.17%
▲
(+0.27)
Under 3.5
72.82%
▼
(-0.27)
Over 4.5
12.76%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 4.5
87.23%
▼
(-0.18)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5
70.9%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 0.5
29.1%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 1.5
34.97%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 1.5
65.02%
▲
(+0.14)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5
75.37%
▲
(+0.39)
Under 0.5
24.63%
▼
(-0.39)
Over 1.5
40.85%
▲
(+0.54)
Under 1.5
59.14%
▼
(-0.54)
Score analysis
Oxford United
33.08%
Draw
26.07%
Cardiff City
40.84%
Oxford United
1-0
@
8.85%
▼
(-0.14)
2-1 @ 7.65% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 5.46% ▼ (-0.10)
3-1 @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.21% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 33.08%
2-1 @ 7.65% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 5.46% ▼ (-0.10)
3-1 @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.21% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 33.08%
Draw
1-1
@
12.39%
▼
(-0.05)
0-0 @ 7.17% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.36% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.07%
0-0 @ 7.17% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.36% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.07%
Cardiff City
0-1
@
10.04%
▼
(-0.02)
1-2 @ 8.69% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 7.04% ▲ (+0.08)
1-3 @ 4.06% ▲ (+0.08)
0-3 @ 3.29% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.04)
1-4 @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.05)
0-4 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 40.84%
1-2 @ 8.69% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 7.04% ▲ (+0.08)
1-3 @ 4.06% ▲ (+0.08)
0-3 @ 3.29% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.04)
1-4 @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.05)
0-4 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 40.84%