Championship

Championship | Gameweek 23

Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK

The Kassam Stadium

Oxford Utd
3 - 2
Cardiff

Harris (41'), Brown (53'), Placheta (57')
Dembele (83')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ashford (82'), Robinson (90+4')
Robertson (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Championship clash between Oxford United and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions

Last Game: Leeds 4-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Cardiff City

All competitions

Last Game: Cardiff 0-2 Sheff Utd
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Cardiff City
33.08% ( -0.39)	26.08% ( -0.09)	40.84% ( 0.48)

Both teams to score 53.43% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.04% (

0.3)

50.95% (

-0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.17% (

0.26)

72.82% (

-0.26)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.9% (

-0.11)

29.1% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.97% (

-0.13)

65.02% (

0.13)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.37% (

0.39)

24.63% (

-0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.85% (

0.54)

59.14% (

-0.54)

Score Analysis

Oxford United 33.08%

Cardiff City 40.84%

Draw 26.07%

Oxford United	Draw	Cardiff City
1-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.55% Total : 33.08%	1-1 @ 12.39% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.07%	0-1 @ 10.04% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.69% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 7.04% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 4.06% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.66% Total : 40.84%