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Oxford United
Championship | Gameweek 18
Nov 30, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Millwall logo

Oxford Utd
1 - 1
Millwall

Goodrham (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tanganga (45')
Tanganga (3'), Leonard (59'), Bryan (64'), Saville (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Oxford United and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Utd 3-0 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-1 Sunderland
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Oxford United 1-2 Millwall

With Oxford's unbeaten run at the Kassam Stadium having now come to an end, it remains to be seen how they will react. With Millwall having not played in midweek, we feel that their extra freshness could prove key in sealing a hard-earned win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 46.67%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.18%) and 1-2 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for a Oxford United win it was 1-0 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawMillwall
26.1% (-0.041 -0.04) 27.23% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 46.67% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Both teams to score 46.34% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.66% (0.066000000000003 0.07)58.33% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.04% (0.051000000000002 0.05)78.95% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.79%38.2% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.03%74.96%
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.98% (0.063000000000002 0.06)25.01% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.32% (0.088000000000001 0.09)59.67% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 26.1%
    Millwall 46.67%
    Draw 27.23%
Oxford UnitedDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 9.2% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-1 @ 6.13% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 4.42% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.97% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.42% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.36% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 26.1%
1-1 @ 12.74% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.56% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.25% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.23%
0-1 @ 13.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.18% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.83% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.24% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.08% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.47% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.41% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 46.67%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Millwall

Oxford United
29.4%
Draw
17.6%
Millwall
52.9%
51
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2019 7.45pm
Second Round
Oxford Utd
2-2
Millwall
(Aggregate 2-2 | Oxford Utd win 4-2 on penalties)
Sykes (87'), Henry (94' pen.)
Sykes (58'), Mousinho (69'), Hanson (73'), Berkoe (80')
Dadi Bodvarsson (29', 52')
Apr 22, 2017 3pm
Oct 29, 2016 1pm
Oxford Utd
1-2
Millwall
Sercombe (31')
Skarz (26'), Edwards (52'), Rothwell (65'), Maguire (68')
Morison (36'), O'Brien (50')
Romeo (9'), Thompson (23'), Ferguson (67'), Morison (93')
Feb 2, 2016 7.45pm
Area Finals
Oxford Utd
0-1
Millwall
Gregory (54')
Cummings (59'), Beevers (62')
Beevers (65')
Jan 14, 2016 7.45pm
Area Finals
Millwall
0-2
Oxford Utd

Webster (64')
Roofe (15', 42')
O'Dowda (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd20135228111742
2Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
7Middlesbrough209473425931
8Watford199462725231
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall196762017325
14Preston North EndPreston2041062026-622
15Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
16Coventry CityCoventry205692529-421
17Derby CountyDerby205692226-421
18Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
19Queens Park RangersQPR204972026-621
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd194692030-1018
21Portsmouth183872130-917
22Cardiff CityCardiff1945101730-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City2037101828-1016


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