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Oxford United
Championship | Gameweek 21
Dec 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Sheffield Wednesday logo

Oxford Utd
1 - 3
Sheff Weds

Leigh (17')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Windass (28'), Lowe (50'), Gassama (61')
Gassama (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Oxford United and Sheffield Wednesday, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 2-0 Oxford Utd
Wednesday, December 11 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-1 Blackburn
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Oxford United 1-2 Sheffield Wednesday

Sheffield Wednesday have impressed on the road recently and should have enough to get back to winning ways against an Oxford United side who are lacking confidence and slipping towards the drop zone. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sheffield Wednesday would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawSheffield Wednesday
33.77% (0.061 0.06) 26.67% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07) 39.56% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.71% (0.245 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.76% (0.306 0.31)53.24% (-0.30399999999999 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.2% (0.259 0.26)74.8% (-0.25800000000001 -0.26)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.21% (0.19200000000001 0.19)29.79% (-0.191 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.14% (0.232 0.23)65.86% (-0.229 -0.23)
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.64% (0.148 0.15)26.35% (-0.147 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.5% (0.201 0.2)61.5% (-0.198 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 33.77%
    Sheffield Wednesday 39.55%
    Draw 26.66%
Oxford UnitedDrawSheffield Wednesday
1-0 @ 9.51% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
2-1 @ 7.68% (0.021 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.76% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.1% (0.025 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.32% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.07% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 0.94% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 33.77%
1-1 @ 12.67% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.85% (-0.094 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.12% (0.036 0.04)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.66%
0-1 @ 10.46% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-2 @ 8.45% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.98% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.76% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.1% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.28% (0.026 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.25% (0.013 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.04% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 39.55%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Sheff Weds

Oxford United
36.8%
Draw
15.8%
Sheffield Wednesday
47.4%
38
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 40
Oxford Utd
1-1
Sheff Weds
Brannagan (70' pen.)
Bannan (35')
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 29
Oxford Utd
3-2
Sheff Weds
Taylor (45+1', 62'), Winnall (84')
Taylor (45+4')
Bannan (7'), Windass (60')
Hunt (14'), Bannan (80')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 11
Sheff Weds
1-2
Oxford Utd
Paterson (73')
Paterson (61'), Palmer (85')
Brannagan (12'), Henry (90+3')
Seddon (61'), Rodriguez (80')
Aug 25, 2015 7.45pm
Round Two
Sheff Weds
1-0
Oxford Utd
Nuhiu (55')
Lees (47'), Lee (77'), Sougou (89')

Dunkley (29')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds28178353193459
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
3Burnley28151123692756
4Sunderland28159440221854
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Bristol City2891183533238
10Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds28108104045-538
12Norwich CityNorwich2899104341236
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Portsmouth2778123546-1129
19Stoke CityStoke28610122636-1028
20Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
21Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
22Hull City2868142738-1126
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2849152560-3521


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