Championship

Championship | Gameweek 21

Dec 14, 2024 at 3pm UK

The Kassam Stadium

Oxford Utd
1 - 3
Sheff Weds

Leigh (17', 17')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Windass (28'), Lowe (50'), Gassama (61')
Gassama (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Oxford United and Sheffield Wednesday, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions

Last Game: QPR 2-0 Oxford Utd
Wednesday, December 11 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Sheffield Wednesday

All competitions

Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-1 Blackburn
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sheffield Wednesday would win this match.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Sheffield Wednesday
33.77% ( 0.06)	26.67% ( -0.07)	39.56% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 51.71% (

0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.76% (

0.31)

53.24% (

-0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.2% (

0.26)

74.8% (

-0.26)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.21% (

0.19)

29.79% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.14% (

0.23)

65.86% (

-0.23)

Sheffield Wednesday Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.64% (

0.15)

26.35% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.5% (

0.2)

61.5% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

Oxford United 33.77%

Sheffield Wednesday 39.55%

Draw 26.66%

Oxford United	Draw	Sheffield Wednesday
1-0 @ 9.51% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 7.68% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.1% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 33.77%	1-1 @ 12.67% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.66%	0-1 @ 10.46% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 8.45% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.1% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.23% Total : 39.55%