Championship

Championship | Gameweek 22

Dec 21, 2024 at 3pm UK

Elland Road

Leeds
4 - 0
Oxford Utd

James (9', 9', 9', 9'), Bogle (57', 57'), Aaronson (67'), Solomon (73')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Harris (27'), Harris (27'), Harris (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions

Last Game: Preston 1-1 Leeds
Saturday, December 14 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Oxford United

All competitions

Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-3 Sheff Weds
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 78.42%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 6.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.79%) and 3-0 (11.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.91%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (2.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds United	Draw	Oxford United
78.42% ( 0.17)	14.63% ( -0.11)	6.95% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 40.47% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.39% (

0.24)

41.6% (

-0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.99% (

0.24)

64.01% (

-0.24)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.34% (

0.1)

8.66% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.16% (

0.23)

29.84% (

-0.24)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

44.3% (

-0.02)

55.7% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.71% (

-0.01)

88.29% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Leeds United 78.41%

Oxford United 6.95%

Draw 14.63%

Leeds United	Draw	Oxford United
2-0 @ 14.43% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 11.79% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 11.77% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 2.06% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.4% Total : 78.41%	1-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.43% Total : 14.63%	0-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.11% Total : 6.95%