Championship

Championship | Gameweek 20

Dec 10, 2024 at 8pm UK

Elland Road

Leeds
3 - 1
Middlesbrough

Gnonto (14'), James (74'), Aaronson (90+2')
Wober (89')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Wober (54' og.)
Edmundson (71'), Dijksteel (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions

Last Game: Leeds 2-0 Derby
Saturday, December 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Middlesbrough

All competitions

Last Game: Burnley 1-1 Middlesbrough
Friday, December 6 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 56.31%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 20.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Middlesbrough win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds United	Draw	Middlesbrough
56.31% ( 0.14)	23.12% ( 0.07)	20.56% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 52.21% (

-0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.49% (

-0.57)

47.51% (

0.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.28% (

-0.53)

69.72% (

0.53)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.33% (

-0.16)

16.67% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.46% (

-0.28)

46.54% (

0.28)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.66% (

-0.54)

37.34% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.87% (

-0.54)

74.12% (

0.53)

Score Analysis

Leeds United 56.31%

Middlesbrough 20.56%

Draw 23.12%

Leeds United	Draw	Middlesbrough
1-0 @ 11.15% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 9.99% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.1% Total : 56.31%	1-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.12%	0-1 @ 6.13% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.64% Total : 20.56%