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Championship | Gameweek 21
Dec 14, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Deepdale
Leeds logo

Preston
1 - 1
Leeds

Potts (23')
Whiteman (32'), Osmajic (58'), Lindsay (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Whatmough (90+3' og.)
Farke (37'), James (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 0-2 Preston
Wednesday, December 11 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 3-1 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, December 10 at 8pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 59.13%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 19.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.95%) and 0-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Preston North End win it was 1-0 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
Preston North EndDrawLeeds United
19.1% (0.154 0.15)21.77% (0.055999999999997 0.06)59.13% (-0.207 -0.21)
Both teams to score 54.19% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.31% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)43.68% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.92% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)66.08% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.33% (0.156 0.16)36.67% (-0.154 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.54% (0.155 0.15)73.46% (-0.15300000000001 -0.15)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.58% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)14.42% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.65% (-0.138 -0.14)42.35% (0.141 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Preston North End 19.1%
    Leeds United 59.13%
    Draw 21.77%
Preston North EndDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 5.31% (0.027 0.03)
2-1 @ 5.15% (0.034 0.03)
2-0 @ 2.66% (0.025 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.72% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.67% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 19.1%
1-1 @ 10.27% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.29% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-2 @ 4.99% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.77%
0-1 @ 10.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.95% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 9.92% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
1-3 @ 6.42% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 6.4% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.22% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 3.11% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-4 @ 3.1% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.56% (-0.002 -0)
1-5 @ 1.2% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.2% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 59.13%

How you voted: Preston vs Leeds

Preston North End
18.3%
Draw
7.0%
Leeds United
74.6%
71
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2024 12pm
Gameweek 28
Leeds
2-1
Preston
James (6'), Piroe (90+4' pen.)
Summerville (38'), Rutter (67'), Firpo (76'), Bamford (85')
Keane (2')
Whiteman (8'), McCann (34'), Lindsay (62'), Cornell (83'), Ledson (85'), Stewart (86')
Dec 26, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 24
Preston
2-1
Leeds
Browne (57'), Millar (89')
Potts (22'), McCann (30'), Osmajic (54'), Holmes (80'), Browne (87')
Struijk (83' pen.)
Rodon (54')
Meslier (53')
Dec 26, 2019 5.15pm
Gameweek 24
Leeds
1-1
Preston
Oct 22, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Preston
1-1
Leeds
Apr 9, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 41
Preston
0-2
Leeds

Pearson (14'), Davies (45')
Pearson (49')
Bamford (62', 76')
Alioski (67'), Phillips (81')