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Championship | Gameweek 21
Dec 14, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Deepdale
Leeds logo

Preston
1 - 1
Leeds

Potts (23')
Whiteman (32'), Osmajic (58'), Lindsay (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Whatmough (90+3' og.)
Farke (37'), James (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 0-2 Preston
Wednesday, December 11 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 3-1 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, December 10 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Preston North End 1-2 Leeds United

While Leeds have struggled on the road in recent weeks, their firepower should be enough to overcome Preston here. As the Championship's leading scorers, they will aim to pile the pressure on Sheffield United at the top, and we think they will do that with a 2-1 victory at Deepdale this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 59.13%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 19.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.95%) and 0-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Preston North End win it was 1-0 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
Preston North EndDrawLeeds United
19.1% (0.154 0.15) 21.77% (0.055999999999997 0.06) 59.13% (-0.207 -0.21)
Both teams to score 54.19% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.31% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)43.68% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.92% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)66.08% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.33% (0.156 0.16)36.67% (-0.154 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.54% (0.155 0.15)73.46% (-0.15300000000001 -0.15)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.58% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)14.42% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.65% (-0.138 -0.14)42.35% (0.141 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Preston North End 19.1%
    Leeds United 59.13%
    Draw 21.77%
Preston North EndDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 5.31% (0.027 0.03)
2-1 @ 5.15% (0.034 0.03)
2-0 @ 2.66% (0.025 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.72% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.67% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 19.1%
1-1 @ 10.27% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.29% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-2 @ 4.99% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.77%
0-1 @ 10.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.95% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 9.92% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
1-3 @ 6.42% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 6.4% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.22% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 3.11% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-4 @ 3.1% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.56% (-0.002 -0)
1-5 @ 1.2% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.2% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 59.13%

How you voted: Preston vs Leeds

Preston North End
18.3%
Draw
7.0%
Leeds United
74.6%
71
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2024 12pm
Gameweek 28
Leeds
2-1
Preston
James (6'), Piroe (90+4' pen.)
Summerville (38'), Rutter (67'), Firpo (76'), Bamford (85')
Keane (2')
Whiteman (8'), McCann (34'), Lindsay (62'), Cornell (83'), Ledson (85'), Stewart (86')
Dec 26, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 24
Preston
2-1
Leeds
Browne (57'), Millar (89')
Potts (22'), McCann (30'), Osmajic (54'), Holmes (80'), Browne (87')
Struijk (83' pen.)
Rodon (54')
Meslier (53')
Dec 26, 2019 5.15pm
Oct 22, 2019 7.45pm
Apr 9, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 41
Preston
0-2
Leeds

Pearson (14'), Davies (45')
Pearson (49')
Bamford (62', 76')
Alioski (67'), Phillips (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds28178353193459
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
3Burnley28151123692756
4Sunderland28159440221854
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Bristol City2891183533238
10Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds28108104045-538
12Norwich CityNorwich2899104341236
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Portsmouth2778123546-1129
19Stoke CityStoke28610122636-1028
20Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
21Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
22Hull City2868142738-1126
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2849152560-3521


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