Championship

Championship | Gameweek 23

Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK

Vicarage Road

Watford
2 - 1
Portsmouth

Kayembe (57' pen.), Vata (90+5')
Baah (30'), Kayembe (59')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Swanson (11')
Mousinho (31'), Pack (57'), Schmid (59'), Murphy (60'), Lang (64'), Swanson (75'), Moxon (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Championship clash between Watford and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions

Last Game: Burnley 2-1 Watford
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Portsmouth

All competitions

Last Game: Portsmouth 4-1 Coventry
Saturday, December 21 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 56.73%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 19.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Portsmouth win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result
Watford	Draw	Portsmouth
56.73% ( -0.06)	24.07% ( 0.01)	19.2% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 47.26% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.98% (

0.03)

53.02% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.39% (

0.02)

74.61% (

-0.02)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.47% (

-0.01)

18.53% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.23% (

-0.02)

49.77% (

0.03)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.01% (

0.08)

41.99% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.58% (

0.07)

78.42% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Watford 56.72%

Portsmouth 19.2%

Draw 24.07%

Watford	Draw	Portsmouth
1-0 @ 13.11% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 11.05% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.39% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.27% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 3.15% Total : 56.72%	1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.78% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.74% Total : 24.07%	0-1 @ 6.75% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 1.95% Total : 19.2%