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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portsmouth | Draw | Coventry City |
| 33.91% ( | 25.96% ( | 40.12% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.01% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.68% ( | 50.31% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.74% ( | 72.26% |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.74% ( | 28.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.03% ( | 63.97% ( |
| Coventry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.28% ( | 24.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.73% ( | 59.26% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Portsmouth | Draw | Coventry City |
| 1-0 @ 8.83% ( 2-1 @ 7.8% ( 2-0 @ 5.58% ( 3-1 @ 3.28% ( 3-0 @ 2.35% ( 3-2 @ 2.3% ( 4-1 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 2.75% Total : 33.91% | 1-1 @ 12.33% 0-0 @ 6.98% 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.96% | 0-1 @ 9.76% ( 1-2 @ 8.62% ( 0-2 @ 6.82% ( 1-3 @ 4.02% ( 0-3 @ 3.18% ( 2-3 @ 2.54% 1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0-4 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 2.66% Total : 40.12% |