Championship Gameweek 27
Derby
Jan 18, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Pride Park Stadium
Watford
  • Callum Elder 19' yellowcard
  • yellowcard James Abankwah 1'
  • goal Imran Louza 4'
  • yellowcard Jeremy Ngakia 31'
  • goal Edo Kayembe 66'
  • yellowcard Francisco Sierralta 90'+1'

Derby County vs Watford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
Last game
Jan 4, 2025 3.00pm
Bristol City 1 - 0 Derby
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Jerry Yates

Watford

All competitions
Last game
Jan 14, 2025 7.45pm
Cardiff 1 - 1 Watford
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Vakoun Issouf Bayo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 50.86%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Watford had a probability of 24.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result

Derby County 50.86% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 24.61% ▼ (-0.20)
Watford 24.53% ▲ (+0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.55% ▲ (+0.77)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.48% ▲ (+0.94)
Under 2.5 49.52% ▼ (-0.93)
Over 3.5 28.45% ▲ (+0.84)
Under 3.5 71.55% ▼ (-0.83)
Over 4.5 13.61% ▲ (+0.56)
Under 4.5 86.39% ▼ (-0.56)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5 80.53% ▲ (+0.38)
Under 0.5 19.47% ▼ (-0.38)
Over 1.5 48.67% ▲ (+0.62)
Under 1.5 51.33% ▼ (-0.61)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5 65.26% ▲ (+0.66)
Under 0.5 34.74% ▼ (-0.65)
Over 1.5 28.53% ▲ (+0.69)
Under 1.5 71.47% ▼ (-0.68)

Score analysis

Derby County 50.85%
Draw 24.61%
Watford 24.53%
Derby County
1-0 @ 11.06% ▼ (-0.29)
2-1 @ 9.57% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 9.05% ▼ (-0.13)
3-1 @ 5.22% ▲ (+0.08)
3-0 @ 4.94% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.76% ▲ (+0.10)
4-1 @ 2.14% ▲ (+0.06)
4-0 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 50.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.7% ▼ (-0.09)
0-0 @ 6.76% ▼ (-0.26)
2-2 @ 5.06% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 24.61%
Watford
0-1 @ 7.15% ▼ (-0.15)
1-2 @ 6.19% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 3.78% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.07)
0-3 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 24.53%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 3
Watford
Aug 24, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Vicarage Road
Derby
  • Vakoun Issouf Bayo 31' goal
  • Giorgi Chakvetadze 45' yellowcard
  • Moussa Sissoko 76' goal
  • Mileta Rajovic 89' yellowcard
  • goal Ebou Adams 2'
  • yellowcard Ebou Adams 50'
  • yellowcard Sonny Bradley 89'
  • yellowcard Curtis Nelson 90'+5'
Championship Gameweek 31
Watford
Feb 19, 2021 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Vicarage Road
Derby
  • Joao Pedro 19' goal
  • Will Hughes 20' yellowcard
  • Will Hughes 21' goal
  • Tom Cleverley 42' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lee Buchanan 45'
  • goal William Troost-Ekong 77' (OG)
  • yellowcard Nathan Byrne 90'+1'
Championship Gameweek 5
Derby
Oct 16, 2020 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
Watford
  • George Evans 58' yellowcard
  • goal Joao Pedro 76'
  • yellowcard Ben Wilmot 90'+1'
Championship
Derby
Apr 3, 2015 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Watford
  • Darren Bent 45' goal
  • Craig Bryson 56' yellowcard
  • Thomas Ince 57' goal
  • Richard Keogh 95' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ben Watson 7'
  • goal Matej Vydra 23'
  • redcard Marco Motta 44'
  • yellowcard Troy Deeney 65'
  • goal Odion Ighalo 75'
  • yellowcard Matthew Connolly 91'
  • yellowcard Craig Cathcart 94'
Championship
Watford
Nov 22, 2014 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Derby
  • Gianni Munari 67' goal
  • Lloyd Doyley 84' yellowcard
  • Troy Deeney 93' yellowcard
  • Gianni Munari 93' yellowcard
  • Daniel Toszer 94' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Richard Keogh 13'
  • goal Jordan Ibe 39'
  • goal Craig Bryson 81'
Championship
Derby
Apr 26, 2014 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Watford
  • Jeff Hendrick 28' goal
  • Craig Forsyth 60' goal
  • Jeff Hendrick 81' goal
  • Chris Martin 86' goal
  • yellowcard Marco Cassetti 4'
  • goal Troy Deeney 5'
  • yellowcard Albert Riera 22'
  • yellowcard Daniel Tozser 51'
  • redcard Marco Cassetti 68'
  • goal Mathias Ranegie 70'
  • yellowcard Troy Deeney 90'

Form Data

Leyton Orient 1 - 1 Derby
Bristol City 1 - 0 Derby
Sheff Weds 4 - 2 Derby
Derby 0 - 1 Leeds
Derby 2 - 1 West Brom
Luton 2 - 1 Derby
Cardiff 1 - 1 Watford
Fulham 4 - 1 Watford
Watford 1 - 2 Sheff Utd
QPR 3 - 1 Watford
Watford 1 - 2 Cardiff
Watford 2 - 1 Portsmouth