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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Watford had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Queens Park Rangers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Watford |
| 41.07% ( | 25.88% ( | 33.04% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.05% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.85% ( | 50.15% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.88% ( | 72.12% ( |
| Queens Park Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.84% ( | 24.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.53% ( | 58.47% ( |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.27% ( | 28.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.43% ( | 64.57% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Watford |
| 1-0 @ 9.86% ( 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 2-0 @ 7% ( 3-1 @ 4.14% ( 3-0 @ 3.32% ( 3-2 @ 2.58% ( 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 4-0 @ 1.18% ( 4-2 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 1.88% Total : 41.08% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( 0-0 @ 6.94% ( 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 3-3 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 8.66% ( 1-2 @ 7.67% ( 0-2 @ 5.4% ( 1-3 @ 3.19% ( 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0-3 @ 2.24% ( 1-4 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.63% Total : 33.04% |