Championship

Championship | Gameweek 25

Jan 1, 2025 at 3pm UK

Hillsborough Stadium

Sheff Weds
4 - 2
Derby

Bannan (8'), Windass (61'), Gassama (63'), Musaba (74')
Charles (85')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Yates (68'), Adams (90+1')
Adams (32'), Goudmijn (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Sheffield Wednesday and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sheffield Wednesday

All competitions

Last Game: Preston 3-1 Sheff Weds
Sunday, December 29 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Derby County

All competitions

Last Game: Derby 0-1 Leeds
Sunday, December 29 at 5.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 48.46%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 25.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sheffield Wednesday would win this match.

Result
Sheffield Wednesday	Draw	Derby County
48.46% ( 0.01)	26.15% ( -0)	25.39% ( -0)

Both teams to score 48.79% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.13% (

0.01)

54.87% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.84% (

0.01)

76.16% (

-0.01)

Sheffield Wednesday Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.33% (

0.01)

22.67% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.69% (

0.01)

56.31% (

-0.01)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.09% (

0.01)

36.9% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.31% (

73.69% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Sheffield Wednesday 48.45%

Derby County 25.39%

Draw 26.14%

Sheffield Wednesday	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 12.41% 2-0 @ 9.21% 2-1 @ 9.19% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.56% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.54% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.69% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.69% ( 0) Other @ 2.9% Total : 48.45%	1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 8.37% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0) Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.14%	0-1 @ 8.34% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.17% 0-2 @ 4.16% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.05% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.52% 0-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 1.78% Total : 25.39%