Championship Gameweek 25
Sheff Weds
Jan 1, 2025 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 1 0
FT Hillsborough Stadium
Derby
  • Barry Bannan 8' goal
  • Josh Windass 61' goal
  • Djeidi Gassama 63' goal
  • Anthony Musaba 74' goal
  • Shea Charles 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ebou Adams 32'
  • yellowcard Kenzo Goudmijn 34'
  • goal Jerry Yates 68'
  • goal Ebou Adams 90'+1'

Sheffield Wednesday vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sheffield Wednesday

All competitions
Last game
Dec 29, 2024 12.30pm
Preston 3 - 1 Sheff Weds
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Josh Windass

Derby County

All competitions
Last game
Dec 29, 2024 5.45pm
Derby 0 - 1 Leeds
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Jerry Yates

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 48.46%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 25.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sheffield Wednesday would win this match.

Result

Sheffield Wednesday 48.46% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 26.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Derby County 25.39% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.79% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.13% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 54.87% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 23.84% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 76.16% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 4.5 10.63% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 89.37% ▼ (-0.01)

Sheffield Wednesday Goals

Over 0.5 77.33% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 22.67% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 43.69% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 56.31% ▼ (-0.01)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5 63.09% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 36.9% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 26.31% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 73.69% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Sheffield Wednesday 48.45%
Draw 26.14%
Derby County 25.39%
Sheffield Wednesday
1-0 @ 12.41%
2-0 @ 9.21%
2-1 @ 9.19% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.56% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.54% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.27% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 48.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.37%
0-0 @ 8.37% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.58% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 26.14%
Derby County
0-1 @ 8.34% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.17%
0-2 @ 4.16% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.05% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.52%
0-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 25.39%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 18
Derby
Dec 1, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
Sheff Weds
  • Ebou Adams 9' goal
  • Ebou Adams 37' yellowcard
  • Marcus Harness 47' yellowcard
  • Ben Osborn 71' yellowcard
  • Callum Elder 85' yellowcard
  • Kayden Jackson 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Barry Bannan 21'
  • goal Barry Bannan 64'
  • goal Jamal Lowe 90'+4'
League One Gameweek 46
Sheff Weds
May 7, 2023 12.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Hillsborough Stadium
Derby
  • Michael Smith 43' goal
League One Gameweek 20
Derby
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
Sheff Weds
Championship Gameweek 46
Derby
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
3
3
HT : 0 1
FT Pride Park Stadium
Sheff Weds
  • Martyn Waghorn 49' goal
  • Patrick Roberts 52' goal
  • Colin Kazim-Richards 60' yellowcard
  • Kamil Jozwiak 76' yellowcard
  • Martyn Waghorn 78' goal
  • Festy Ebosele 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Barry Bannan 45'+1'
  • goal Sam Hutchinson 45'+3'
  • goal Callum Paterson 62'
  • goal Julian Borner 69'
  • yellowcard Chey Dunkley 77'
  • yellowcard Kadeem Harris 90'+5'
Championship Gameweek 23
Sheff Weds
Jan 1, 2021 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Hillsborough Stadium
Derby
  • Callum Paterson 61' goal
  • yellowcard Colin Kazim-Richards 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Kamil Jozwiak 90'+3'
Championship Gameweek 36
Sheff Weds
Feb 29, 2020 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 3
FT Hillsborough Stadium
Derby
  • Barry Bannan 41' yellowcard
  • Josh Windass 74' goal
  • Dominic Iorfa 87' yellowcard
  • goal Tom Lawrence 7'
  • goal Tom Lawrence 24'
  • goal Jason Knight 30'
  • yellowcard Graeme Shinnie 82'

Form Data

Preston 3 - 1 Sheff Weds
Middlesbrough 3 - 3 Sheff Weds
Sheff Weds 2 - 0 Stoke
Oxford Utd 1 - 3 Sheff Weds
Sheff Weds 0 - 1 Blackburn
Sheff Weds 1 - 1 Preston
Derby 0 - 1 Leeds
Derby 2 - 1 West Brom
Luton 2 - 1 Derby
Derby 4 - 0 Portsmouth
Burnley 0 - 0 Derby
Leeds 2 - 0 Derby