FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 9, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Craven Cottage

Fulham
4 - 1
Watford

Muniz (26'), Jimenez (49' pen.), Andersen (65'), Castagne (85')
Cuenca (38')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Vata (33')
Kayembe (8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's FA Cup clash between Fulham and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fulham

All competitions

Last Game: Fulham 2-2 Ipswich
Sunday, January 5 at 2pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Watford

All competitions

Last Game: Watford 1-2 Sheff Utd
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 46.51%. A win for Watford had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.

Result
Fulham	Draw	Watford
46.51% ( -0.02)	23.94% ( 0)	29.54% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 59.01% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.04% (

-0.01)

42.96% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.64% (

-0)

65.36% (

Fulham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.34% (

-0.01)

18.65% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.02% (

-0.01)

49.98% (

0.01)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.54% (

0.01)

27.46% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.05% (

0.01)

62.94% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Fulham 46.51%

Watford 29.54%

Draw 23.93%

Fulham	Draw	Watford
2-1 @ 9.33% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.6% 2-0 @ 7.22% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.22% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.04% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.38% 4-1 @ 2.19% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.7% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0) Other @ 3.42% Total : 46.51%	1-1 @ 11.11% 2-2 @ 6.03% 0-0 @ 5.12% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.93%	1-2 @ 7.18% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.62% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.28% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.1% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.84% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.92% Total : 29.54%